|
|
US
|
EU
|
| foreign
policy influence |
high
|
medium
|
| credibility
of foreign policies |
high
|
low
|
| nuance,
moderation of foreign policies |
weak |
strong
|
| credibility
of threat of military intervention |
high
|
low
|
| level
of military/political/economical intelligence
in Middle East |
high
|
medium
|
| credibility
of provision of post-conflict security guarantees
|
medium
|
medium
|
| standing
following colonial/historical legacies |
medium
|
medium
|
| dependence
on imports of Arab oil |
high
|
medium
|
| oil
production business interests |
strong
|
medium
|
| credibility
as unbiased, 'honest' broker |
low
|
high
|
| experience
with post-conflict regional integration |
low
|
high
|
| attractiveness
of lifestyle (beware illusion vs. reality) |
high
|
high
|
| attractiveness
as place to emigrate to |
high
|
high
|
| experience
with cross-cultural people-to-people networks |
medium
|
high
|
| likelyhood
of large post-conflict economic investments |
high
|
high
|
| communication
with Middle East |
low
|
low
|
| media
coverage, diversity of reporting on ME |
low |
medium
|
| introspectiveness
of US / EU |
high
|
medium
|
| influence
of Jewish lobby |
high
|
low
|
| influence
of Arab lobby |
low
|
medium
|
negative
history of EU/US involvement in the ME
(holocaust, redrawing of borders
post WW II, xenophobia)
|
low
|
high
|
| moral
high ground |
medium |
weak |
| UN
resolutions follow-through |
weak
|
medium
|
