by Simon Parais : Student, Elizabethtown College PA, USA / European Studies Department Daniel Berzsenyi College


17/01/2005

Introduction

Political Dimension

Economic dimension

Cultural and social dimension

Conclusion

Abstract

This paper, with the use of a scenario approach, tries to predict how the transatlantic relations between the U.S. and the EU will look like in 2020.
“ The US-European relations are at or near a postwar low-point” said Charles Kuphan in 2004. After securing the wary situation and creating a fragile but existing democracy in Iraq in 2010, the United States realized that the policy of the democratization of the Middle East region was unfeasible, and together with the European Union’s 150.000 rapid reaction troops and with NATO’s newly established Crises Management Forces (CMF), it launched its new Global Reaction Force (GRF), with the cooperative use of the GPS and GALILEO systems.
In 2008, 2010, 2016, and 2020, five new countries (Bulgaria, Romania, Croatia, Turkey, and Serbia) joined the European Union increasing its population to 595 million and creating the largest single market in the world (purchasing power).
In 2020 the world’s most populated countries are India (1.442m), China (1.430m) and the U.S (400m). The year 2020 saw the inaguaration of the European Mars Project and the with the new Global Cyber and Survaillence Pact the EU and U.S. laid down the foundations of legitimate public and personal privacy acts.
Owing to the Dewey Education Programme, there was a significant increase of U.S. students studying abroad and generally in 2020 more than 5 million students are studying abroad in the whole world .
From the low tide of relations between the EU and the US in 2008, when the EU was developing its own common military force, at the same time strongly opposing U.S. foreign policy, and also with the postponement of Turkish accession talks with another 2 years, 2010 saw the beginning of a radical shift in transatlantic relations which led to the Transatlantic Cooperation Pact (TCP), establishing a firm and long-lasting cooperation plan.

 

Keywords

transatlantic relations * foreign policy * international relations * weapons of mass destruction * proliferation * WTO * World Bank * UN * globalization * education environment * world order

 

Contents

Introduction
Political Dimension
1.A Broader Perspective
2. Global Governance
3.The New Tripolar World Order
4. Security and Defense Policy
5. U30

Economic dimension
6.U.S.and the EU
7. Environment

Cultural and social dimension
8.Moral values
9.Education

Conclusion
Bibliography

 

Introduction

In this paper, with the use of a vertical scanario planning (two variables: managed international environment and fractious international relations) , I am trying to project the political, economical and social state of the transatlantic relations between the Unites States and the European Union in the year 2020. Scenarios are by all means imaginativ, but there are some existing trends and facts from which we can try to project the major changes in the future.

Simon Parais
ELIZABETHTOWN COLLEGE
ELIZABETHTOWN, PA, USA
NOVEMBER 2004