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TRANSATLANTIC RELATIONS BETWEEN
THE UNITED STATES AND THE EU IN 2020
ANTICIPATION AND THE NEW WORLD ORDER
A SCENARIO APPROACH
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by
Simon
Parais :
Student, Elizabethtown College PA, USA
/ European
Studies Department Daniel Berzsenyi College
17/01/2005 |
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Economic
dimension
6. - U.S. and the
EU
The U.S. has the leading economy in the
world; however the GDP growth is slower
than in China, however faster than in
the EU or in Japan. The highest purchasing
power in the world today is in the European
Union and this could be a basis for the
prosperity of European economy in the
future as well.
The most important economic issue
in this decade was the new transatlantic
customs union which boosted both
US
and EU economies to a huge extent
from 2015.
Under this initiative, a barrier-free
transatlantic market had been introduced
in order to increase mutual economical
interests and at the same time helping
to tie interests closer. Vis-á-vis
this outstanding development there
is a need for labor force to increase
production.
Also more women in the labor industry,
the need for a delayed retirement
and the annual 600.000 immigrants
are the
weak part of European economy. Enterprise
and education are not at the necessary
level required by organizations.
Furthermore, EU citizens are living
longer and better,
which in turn increases the pensions
and health costs. It is not only
the EU, though, that confronts economic
challenges and an aging population
that will place
health insurance, unemployment and
pension schemes under further strain,
but also
the United States, but because of
having
control over key important oil fields
in the Middle East (especially in
Iraq), the U.S. economy will stay
the strongest
in the near future as well.
As experts pointed out in 2004 the two
keys to maintain transatlantic relations
between the U.S. and EU were the fiscal
deficit of the U.S. and the accomplishment
of the goals of the Lisbon strategy.
Due to continuous European FDI coming
into the U.S., the costs of the fight
against terrorism had been financed without
a considerable recession in the U.S.
economy and because of the effective
initiatives of the Barroso Commission
in 2006; the fading Lisbon strategy got
new impetus.
7. Environment
This is the field where in 2020 the
European Union has a clear lead over
every other
country in the world. Signing of the
Kyoto Treaty was the most important
step as far as protecting the environment
is considered and the EU has huge merit
in lobbying for it. Furthermore, under
the Hydrogen Economy Development Scheme
the EU and the U.S. together agreed
on
the use of hydrogen cars, however,
current analyses shows that despite
all success
in this field because of the spiral
and treshold effects (nature can
change in
a very flexible way, but after it reaches
a certain level, there is no way back),
future problems seem extremely difficult
to tackle. Nevertheless, EU has a leading
edge in waste management and generally
environment as a new business area.
Until 2010 environmental issues caused
a lot
of problems in transatlantic relations,
but shortly after the U.S. recognized
that it is not only its crucial mid-term
goal, but also that this is brand new
area of business, protecting environment
became a common interest.
Simon
Parais
ELIZABETHTOWN COLLEGE
ELIZABETHTOWN, PA, USA
NOVEMBER 2004
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