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TRANSATLANTIC RELATIONS BETWEEN
THE UNITED STATES AND THE EU IN 2020

ANTICIPATION AND THE NEW WORLD ORDER
A SCENARIO APPROACH


by Simon Parais : Student, Elizabethtown College PA, USA / European Studies Department Daniel Berzsenyi College


17/01/2005

Conclusion

As a conclusion I identified three possible scenarios for the future of the transatlantic relations in 2020. The first, Pax Americana, counts with a growing U.S. political, military and economical power in the world. The second one, Europe on the move, suggests us that the after successful European integration in the forthcoming decades (Constitution, institutional reform, united foreign policy, completion of the Lisbon strategy, expanding eurozone, promotion of life-long learning), the European Union completed the last and final stage of its political integration and by that time it is a strong global actor. The third scenario, Tripolarity, projects that neither the U.S., nor the European Union reached a decisive leading role in development, but a third world power, due its gradually growing economy, China entered the stage of world politics, being the second strongest power in the world by 2020 .

 

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Simon Parais
ELIZABETHTOWN COLLEGE
ELIZABETHTOWN, PA, USA
NOVEMBER 2004

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