The schism within
the transatlantic framework is taking
place as American power has reached a
peak unmatched by any in history. This
preponderance of power and US determination
to use it unilaterally has also enabled
a unification of a European society long
desired by supporters of a united Europe.
The members of the transatlantic framework
contain the vast majority of the world’s
economic and military power. The global
agenda from trade to security initiatives
is set largely by the members of the United
States and the European Union. Consensus
on these issues enables the creation of
international norms.
Transatlantic
relations however, have reached a nadir.
The destabilization of transatlantic relations
is real and maybe beyond repair. However,
the Iraq war did not by itself create
the situation transatlantic relations
find themselves at the present time. The
Iraq war simply exacerbated the differences
and was also manipulated by elements on
both sides of the Atlantic to further
political agendas. European vindictiveness
has been increasingly on display since
the Iraq war. This may be arguably the
result of American indifference; However,
France in particular has increasingly
taken a position as desiring to actively
impede US policies and has successfully
encouraged other states such as Germany
and Russia to withhold and even impede
aid for Iraq reconstruction purposes.
Amid much
recrimination and bluster by both sides,
the basic underlying truth is that both
the US and EU are major centers of power.
However, their spheres of influence are
so disparate in respect to their sources
of power and credibility that both sides
need each other to further each other’s
goals. The EU provides the legitimacy
of 25 states. The US provides credibility
with unprecedented power. The Iraq war
has become the 21st century’s 1956
Suez Canal crisis, as both sides have
maneuvered to test the increasingly fragile
boundaries of the transatlantic partnership.
The schism between Europe and the United
States is not an isolated instance of
disagreement; it is symbolic of a critical
and serious cleavage over how to address
the common threats to both Europe and
the United States: International terrorism,
rouge and failed states and proliferation
of weapons of mass destruction, and how
to counter these new, non-traditional
21st century threats.
The Transatlantic
relationship was established on the assumption
that long forged traditional ties were
the focus of strategic, political and
economic interests of the transatlantic
framework. Today, these aspects of the
transatlantic framework are in a process
of weakening. The United States’
center of power is shifting more towards
Trans-Pacific Asia while Europe has decided
itself to diverting its focus from the
Atlantic to focus its center of power
within itself as it becomes more preoccupied
in its own internal debates. Both sides
of the Atlantic have reduced their commitments
to the transatlantic framework by their
own decision and actions, over a period
of time, not as the result of any legacy
of US unilateralism in Iraq. The current
traditional model of a dominant US power
and European junior partners must be restructured.
Burden sharing or diversification of duties
and power must be instituted. Capabilities
and burdens must be distributed.
Transatlantic relations need to be reformed
from the legacy of the Cold War. The lack
of a universally perceived threat to the
members of the NATO alliance has enabled
Europe to be vindictive and the US to
become indifferent in regards to Atlantic
relations. New common interests must be
defined. Values cannot be the foundation
of an encompassing common interest, after
all, Finland and New Zealand have many
common values, however, no potential alliance
between these two states will establish
itself on this foundation alone. One common
interest for both the US and EU is the
desire to establish European style zones
of peace and common prosperity into regions
of close proximity.
New attempts to reform transatlantic relations
must take into consideration methods of
mediating differences among its members.
Since consensus of views, especially of
threats and challenges is highly probable
in the future is difficult reforms must
be made. Failure to do so will create
two alternatives, either complete unanimity
or risking the destruction of the transatlantic
framework. This would put the existence
of transatlantic organizations such as
NATO in peril, subject to reaction to
events on both sides of the framework.
Any attempt
to reassess the Atlantic partnership must
be to redefine the scale of the partnership.
Has it become regional or global in nature?
Some on both sides of the Atlantic see
the US as the hub of global power, and
Europe becoming a regional power along
similar spheres of influence within Asia,
Eurasia and Asia. Or, should an equal,
balanced relationship between the powers
develop? The idea of Europe itself must
also be addressed. France and Germany,
the economic powerhouses of Europe have
claimed the mantle of Europe and routinely
claim authority for its policies, even
intimidating other European states that
oppose their views and policies. Yet,
the newly democratized states in Eastern
Europe as well as Britain, Italy and initially
Spain supported and assisted US policies
towards Iraq.
The bureaucrats
in Brussels are committed to forging common
defense and foreign policy. They have
become the vanguard of European nationalism.
They are embodied by France and Germany,
who desire to impose their political culture
of commitment to diplomacy, restrictions
on the use of force and trust in international
law, institutions and treaties. They expect
that over time, Britain Eastern Europe
and other European dissenter will be compelled
to acquiesce to their desires. They anticipate
European unity by imposing German and
French policy as a forerunner of common
EU policy. However, French and German
domination within the EU is not certain.
There are doubts among many within Europe
as to France’s intention with the
EU. France is seen by many as desiring
to seek its own aggrandizement to become
a superpower using the EU as its vehicle.
Suspicions linger about a resurgent Germany.
US policymakers
have indifferently dismissed and thus
ignored these important questions and
have generalized Europe as weak minded
and appeasers, especially after the Madrid
terrorist attacks. Many US policy makers
have failed to see the divisions within
Europe embodied by the various supporters
of US Iraq policy from within it. In doing
so they have failed to recognize the opportunities
for diplomatic maneuvering that it affords
US policymakers. Indeed, some Neo-Conservative
policy makers have agreed with the US
liberal foreign policy establishment in
promoting further political integration
of Europe on the premise of inevitability.
They may be actually supplying the forces
desiring an Anti-American European superpower.
Conversely, an America emerging from its
European indifference will defend its
interests and create more vindictiveness
from a EU increasingly dominated by the
Brussels-Franco-German-bloc.
British
Prime Minister Lord Salisbury is quoted
as saying “The only bond that endures
is the absence of clashing interests.”
Perhaps Transatlantic politics may have
to evolve from an era where transatlantic
relations were the result of the foundation
of common interests to a policy of toleration
of each other policies and beliefs.
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